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Gwilym Pryce is Professor of Urban Economics and Social Statistics in the Department of Urban Studies. He was born in 1970 in Cardiff, Wales, the son of a steel worker and former miner. At age 7, he moved with his family to Goole, in North Humberside and completed his secondary education at Goole Grammar School. In 1988 he moved to Leeds to study Economics and Public Policy at Leeds Business School (LMU), from which he graduated with a First in 1991. After a year studying theology at Covenant College in the Midlands, he completed a MSc in Economics at the University of Warwick.

After a short stint at Aberdeen University researching capital charges in the NHS under the supervision of Professor David Heald, he was awarded an ESRC Research Fellowship in the Centre for Housing Research and Urban Studies, University of Glasgow in 1995. He progressed to Lecturer in 1996, Senior Lecturer in 2003 and to Professor of Urban Economics and Social Statistics in 2006.

His core research interests are largely in the broad field of urban economics, and most of his research publications have been on housing and mortgage markets.

Full current CV available here.



Chen, Y. and Pryce, G. Flood Risk and the Consequences for Housing: An International Perspective.

Chen, Y., Fingleton, B., and Pryce, G. The Impact of Flood Risk on Employment Density: A GMM Spatial Model with Agglomeration and Endogenous House Price Effects.

Dean, N. and Pryce, G. Social Network Analysis as a New Paradigm for Housing Economics.

Bhattacharjee, A., Cairns, H. and Pryce, G. (2010) Analysis of mortgage arrears using the British Household Panel Survey



For an up-to-date list of publications see Gwilym Pryce's full current CV available here.

Publications with links listed below (most recent first; * refereed journal; ** Core REF2014 UoA16 journal):

Articles Currently Under Review at International Refereed Journals:

**Osland, L. and Pryce, G. Polycentric Access to Employment with Non-Monotonic Distance Effects 

*Anderson, C., Lee, D., Pryce, G. and Taal, M. Factors affecting environmental attitudes and volunteering in England and Wales

**Gibb, K., Osland, L. and Pryce, G. Inequalities in Access to Employment and the Impact on Wellbeing: A Criterion for Spatial Planning?

**Pryce, G., Chen, Y., and Mackay, D. Flood Risk, Climate Change and Housing Economics: Four Fallacies of Extrapolation. Click here to download.

*Stuart-Smith, J., Timmins, C., Pryce, G., Gunter, B. Television is also a factor in language change: Evidence from an urban dialect (submitted to Language in May 2010). Click here to download.

**Pryce, G. Housing Submarkets and the Lattice of Substitution, Winner of the Hypoteční Banka Award for the best European Network of Housing Research 2009 Conference Paper. Click here to download


2011

**Pryce, G., Chen, Y. and Galster, G. (2011) Theoretical Foundations for Understanding the Impact of Floods on House Prices: An Imperfect Information Approach with Amnesia and Myopia. Housing Studies, Volume 26, issue 2. Click here to download.

**Levin, E.J. and Pryce, G.A. (2011) A disequilibrium model of the market for houses: implicit selling time as a signal of optimal holding periods and buyer valuation. Urban Studies . ISSN 0042-0980. Click here to download.

**Levin, E. and Pryce, G. (2011) The dynamics of spatial inequality in UK housing wealth. Housing Policy Debate . ISSN 1051-1482 (In Press) Click here to download.

*Levin, E., Montagnoli, A. and Pryce, G. (2011) Mark-to-Market and house asset valuation: an initial attempt at extending the Poterba Model using the term structure of real forward interest rates. International Journal of Housing Markets and Analysis . ISSN 1753-8270. Click here to download.

**Mason, P. and Pryce, G. (2011) Controlling for transactions bias in regional house price indices. Housing Studies . ISSN 0267-3037 (In Press) Click here to download.

2010

**Pryce, G. (2010) Bidding conventions and the degree of over-pricing in the market for houses. Urban Studies . ISSN 0042-0980 (Published online July 2010). Click here to download.

2009

** Levin, E. and Pryce, G. (2009) 'What Determines the Price Elasticity of House Supply? Real Interest Rate Effects and Cyclical Asymmetries', Housing Studies, (24), pp.713-736. Click here to download.

Levin, E. and Pryce, G. (2009) A regional house price model of excess demand for housing, RICS Research Report May 2009, ISBN 978-2-84219-510-9.

Pryce, G. (2009) Language of Selling and Science of Persuasion, Keller Centre Report, click here. http://www.baylor.edu/business/kellercenter/index.php?id=65466

Pryce, G. (2009) Responding to the Impending Repossessions Crisis, Housing Analysis and Surveys Expert Panel Papers, 7, Communities and Local Government.

* Pate, J., Beaumont, P. and Pryce, G. (2009) 'Organisations and the issue of multiple identities: who loves you baby?', Journal of Information and Knowledge Management Systems, 39(4), pp.319-338.

* Pryce, G. and Sprigings, N. (2009) 'Outlook for UK housing and the implications for policy: Are we reaping what we have sown?', International Journal of Housing Market Analysis, 2(2), pp.145-166.  Designated as a Highly Commended Paper at the Literati Network Awards for Excellence 2010.

2008

** Pryce, G. and Oates, S. (2008) 'Rhetoric in the Language of Real Estate Marketing', Housing Studies, 23(2), pp.319-348.

Levin, E. and Pryce, G. (2008) Measuring Changes in Housing Wealth Inequality, London: Department of Communities and Local Government.

Levin, E. and Pryce, G. (2008) 'Beyond Reason', Residential Property Journal, Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors, August/September 2008.

Levin, E. and Pryce, G. (2008) 'What will shape the future of UK housing?', British Urban Regeneration Association Journal, 2(1), pp.8-9.

Meen, G., Andrew, M., Ball, M. Goody, J., Kasparova, D., Pryce, G., Whitehead, C., Wood, G. (2008) Recent Developments in the Communities and Local Government Affordability Model, London: Department for Communities and Local Government.

Pryce, G., Mackay, D., Fowler, H., Jones, K., Shao, L. and Wood, G. (2008) 'Local Effects of Global Climate Change', British Urban Regeneration Association Journal, 2(2).

Pryce, G. and Oates, S. (2008) The Language of Estate Agency, Findings in Built and Rural Environment, London: Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors.

2007

*Levin, E. and Pryce, G. (2007) 'A Statistical Explanation for Extreme Bids in the House Market', Urban Studies, 44(12), pp.2339-2355. Click here to download.

Pryce, G. and Brown, S. (2007) Is it possible to identify housing sub-markets? Testing a new approach, London: Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors, Findings in Built and Rural Environment, June 2007.

Pryce, G. and Evans, G. (2007) Identifying Submarkets at the Sub-Regional Level in England, London: Department of Communities and Local Government.

2006

*Hendershott, P. and Pryce, G. (2006) 'The Sensitivity of Homeowner Leverage to the Deductability of Home Mortgage Interest', Journal of Urban Economics 60(1): pp.50-68. Click here to download.

ODPM (2006) Which House Price? Finding the Right Measure of House Price Inflation for Housing Policy - Summary, New Horizons Research Summary Number 3: April 2006, ISBN: 05 ASD 03771/c.

*Pryce, G and Gibb, K. (2006) 'Submarket Dynamics of Time to Sale', Real Estate Economics, 34(3), pp.377-415. Click here to download.

Pryce, G. and Mason, P. (2006) Which House Price? Finding the Right Measure of House Price Inflation for Housing Policy - Technical Report, London: Office of the Deputy Prime Minister, ISBN: 05 ASD 03771/a.
 
Pryce, G. and Mason, P. (2006) Which House Price? Finding the Right Measure of House Price Inflation for Housing Policy - Policy Implications Report, London: Office of the Deputy Prime Minister, ISBN: 05 ASD 03771/b.

2005

Pryce, G. (2005) Inference and Statistics in SPSS, Glasgow: GeeBeeJey Publishing ISBN 0-9551433-0-6.

Bowie-Cairns, H. and Pryce, G. (2005) 'Trends in mortgage borrowers' repayment difficulties', Housing Finance, July, pp.1-12. http://www.cml.org.uk/servlet/dycon/zt-cml/cml/live/en/cml/pdf_pub_hf_11-2005.pdf

Hendershott, P.H. and Pryce, G. (2005) 'The Sensitivity of Homeowner Leverage to the Deductibility of Home Mortgage Interest', NBER Working Paper No. 11489, Cambridge: MA; http://www.nber.org/papers/w11489.pdf

*Stoddart, E. and Pryce, G. (2005) Observed Aversion to Raising Hell in Pastoral Care: the Conflict Between Doctrine and Practicem, Journal of Empirical Theology , 18(2) pp.129-153. Click here to download.

2004

Pryce, G. (2004) The Micro and Macro Effects of the Location of New Housing Supply, London: Office of the Deputy Prime Minister.

2003

*Pryce, G. (2003) 'Greening by the market? Distortions caused by fiscal incentives to build on brownfield land', Housing Studies, 18(4). Click here to download

*Pryce, G. (2003) 'Worst of the good and best of the bad: adverse selection consequences of risk pricing', Journal of Property Investment and Finance, 21(6). Click here to download.

Bailey, N., Flint, J., Goodlad, R., Shucksmith, M., Fitzpatrick, S., and Pryce, G. (2003) Measuring deprivation in Scotland: developing a long-term strategy, Final report, Edinburgh: Scottish Executive Central Statistics Unit.

*Hendershott, P., Pryce, G. and White, M. (2003) 'Household leverage and the deductibility of home mortgage interest: evidence from UK house purchasers', Journal of Housing Research, 14(1). Click here to download.

Pryce, G. and Gibb, K. (2003) Does residential new construction boost or depress the adjacent market for second hand homes?, York: Joseph Rowntree Foundation.

2002

*Pryce, G. (2002) 'Theory and estimation of the mortgage payment protection insurance decision', Scottish Journal of Political Economy, 49(2). Click here to download.

Hendershott, P.H., Pryce, G. and White, M. (2002) 'Household Leverage and the Deductibility of Home Mortgage Interest: Evidence from UK House Purchasers', NBER Working Paper No. 9207, Cambridge: MA; http://papers.nber.org/papers/w9207.pdf

Houston, D., Kemp, P. and Pryce, G. (2002) Review of the private rented sector in Wales, Wales: National Assembly for Wales.

Kemp, P. and Pryce, G. (2002) Evaluating the mortgage safety net, London: Council for Mortgage Lenders.

Lynch, E., Stephens, M. and Pryce, G. (2002) Housing and social cohesion in the UK: Report 1, European Commission.

Pryce, G. and Kasparova, D. (2002) Private rented sector supply: an analysis of the Scottish House Condition Survey longitudinal data-set, Edinburgh: Scottish Homes.

*Pryce, G. and Keoghan, M. (2002) 'Unemployment insurance for mortgage borrowers: is it viable and does it cover those most in need?' European Journal of Housing Policy, 2(1). Click here to download.

Pryce, G. and Lynch, E. (2002) Development of a housing market database for Glasgow, Report to GSPC/Communities Scotland.

2001

*Kemp, P. A. and Pryce, G. (2001) 'Evaluating the Mortgage Safety Net', Housing Finance, 52, November 2001, pp. 32-37.

*Pryce, G. and Keoghan, M. (2001) 'Determinants of Mortgage Protection Insurance Take-Up', Housing Studies, 16(2), pp.179-198.

1999

*Pryce, G. (1999) 'Construction Elasticities and Land Availability: A Two Stage Least Squares Model of Housing Supply Using the Variable Elasticity Approach', Urban Studies, 36(13), pp.2283-2304.

*Pryce, G. (1999) 'Work Incentives and Rent: Evidence from Glasgow Housing Associations', Netherlands Journal of Housing and the Built Environment, 14(4), pp.343-362.

Bramley, G., Pryce, G. & Satsangi, M. (1999) The Supply Responsiveness of the Private Rented Sector: An International Comparison, London: Department of the Environment, Transport and the Regions.

Pryce, G. & Keoghan, M. (1999) Safety Nets for Mortgage Borrowers, Edinburgh: Scottish Homes.

1998

Pryce, G. (1998) 'Income Support for Mortgage Interest and the Crowding Out of Mortgage Payment Protection Insurance', Housing Finance, 39, August 1998, pp.27-31.

Maclennan, D. & Pryce, G. (1998) Missing Links: The Economy, Cities & Housing, London: National Housing Federation.

1996

Gibb, K., Jamieson, J., Maclennan, D. & Pryce, G. (1996) The Development of Owner Occupied Housing Markets in Scotland, Report to Monopolies and Mergers Commission, Aug 1996.

Gibb, K., Kearns, A., Keoghan, M., More, A., & Pryce, G. (1996) Community Ownership Rents: Greater Easterhouse in the Glasgow Context, CHRUS Report to the Greater Easterhouse Community Ownership Forum.

*Maclennan, D. and Pryce, G. (1996) 'Global Economic Change, Labour Market Adjustment, and the Challenges for Housing Policies', Urban Studies, 33(10), pp.1849-1865.

Maclennan, D. and Pryce, G. (1996) 'Housing', In Jackson, P. and Lavender, M. (eds) Public Services Yearbook 1996/97, London: Pitman Publishing, pp. 277-284.


Books

Pryce, G. (2005) Inference and Statistics in SPSS, Glasgow: GeeBeeJey Publishing, www.geebeejey.co.uk. Click here for more details.


Journal Articles

Levin, E. and Pryce, G. (forthcoming) A Disequilibrium Model of the Market for Houses: Implicit Selling Time as a Signal of Optimal Holding Periods and Buyer Valuation, Urban Studies

Levin, E. and Pryce, G. (forthcoming) The Dynamics of Spatial Inequality in UK Housing Wealth, Housing Policy Debate

Mason, P. and Pryce, G.  (forthcoming) Controlling for Transactions Bias in Regional House Price Indices, Housing Studies

Pryce, G. (forthcoming) Bidding Conventions and the Degree of Over-pricing in the Market for Houses, Urban Studies 

 

Levin, E. and Pryce, G. (2009) 'What Determines the Price Elasticity of House Supply? Real Interest Rate Effects and Cyclical Asymmetries', Housing Studies, 24, 713-736.  

Pate, J., Beaumont, P. and Pryce, G. (2009) Organisations and the Issue of Multiple Identities: Who Loves You Baby? Journal of Information and Knowledge Management Systems, 39, 4,  319-338. Click here to download the working paper.

Pryce, G. and Sprigings, N. (2009) Outlook for UK housing and the implications for policy: Are we reaping what we have sown?, International Journal of Housing Market Analysis, 2(2) , pp. 145-166. Designated as a Highly Commended Paper at the Literati Network Awards for Excellence 2010.

Levin, E.J. and Pryce, G.B.J. (2008) 'What will shape the future of UK housing?',  British Urban Regeneration Association Journal (1): 8-9

Pryce, G. and Oates, S. (2008) 'Rhetoric in the Language of Real Estate Marketing', Housing Studies 23 (2): 319–348

Levin, E.J. and Pryce, G.B.J. (2007) 'A Statistical Explanation for Extreme Bids in the House Market', Urban Studies, 44:12, 2339-2355. Click here to download.

Hendershott, P. and Pryce, G. (2006) The Sensitivity of Homeowner Leverage to the Deductibility of Home Mortgage Interest, Journal of Urban Economics 60 (1): 50-68. Click here to download.

Pryce, G. and Gibb, K. (2006) Submarket Dynamics of Time to Sale, Real Estate Economics, Vol. 34(3), 377-415. Click here to download.

Bowie-Cairns, H. and Pryce, G. (2005) 'Trends in mortgage borrowers' repayment difficulties', Housing Finance, July, pp. 1-12.  Click here to download.

Stoddart, E. and Pryce, G. (2005) Observed Aversion to Raising Hell in Pastoral Care: the Conflict Between Doctrine and Practice, Journal of Empirical Theology, 18(2) pp 129-153. Click here to download.

Pryce, G. (2003) 'Greening by the Market? Distortions Caused by Fiscal Incentives to Build on Brownfield Land', Housing Studies, 18(4).

Hendershott, P., Pryce, G. and White, M. (2003) 'Household Leverage and the Deductibility of Home Mortgage Interest: Evidence from UK House Purchasers', Journal of Housing Research, 14(1).

Pryce, G. (2003) 'Worst of the Good and Best of the Bad: Adverse Selection Consequences of Risk Pricing', Journal of Property Investment and Finance, 21(6).

Pryce, G. (2002) 'Theory and Estimation of the Mortgage Payment Protection Insurance Decision', Scottish Journal of Political Economy, 49(2). Click here to download.

Pryce, G. and Keoghan, M. (2002) 'Unemployment Insurance for Mortgage Borrowers: is it Viable and does it Cover Those Most in Need?' European Journal of Housing Policy, 2(1).

Pryce, G. and Keoghan, M. (2001) 'Determinants of Mortgage Protection Insurance Take-Up', Housing Studies, 16(2), pp 179-198.

Kemp, P. A. and Pryce, G. (2001) 'Evaluating the Mortgage Safety Net', Housing Finance, 52, November, pp. 32-37.

Pryce, G. (1999) 'Construction Elasticities and Land Availability: A Two Stage Least Squares Model of Housing Supply Using the Variable Elasticity Approach', Urban Studies, 36(13), pp 2283-2304. Click here to download.

Pryce, G. (1999) 'Work Incentives and Rent: Evidence from Glasgow Housing Associations', Netherlands Journal of Housing and the Built Environment, 14(4), pp 343-362.

Pryce, G. (1998) 'Income Support for Mortgage Interest and the Crowding Out of Mortgage Payment Protection Insurance', Housing Finance, 39, August 1998, pp. 27-31.


National Bureau of Economic Research Papers

Hendershott, P.H. and Pryce, G. (2005) The Sensitivity of Homeowner Leverage to the Deductibility of Home Mortgage Interest, NBER Working Paper No. 11489, Cambridge: MA.

Hendershott, P.H., Pryce, G. and White, M. (2002) Household Leverage and the Deductibility of Home Mortgage Interest: Evidence from UK House Purchasers, NBER Working Paper No. 11489, Cambridge: MA.


Research reports­

Levin, E. and Pryce, G. (2009) A regional house price model of excess demand for housing,  RICS Research Report May 2009, ISBN: 978-1-84219-510-9. Click here to download.

Pryce, G. (2009) Responding to the Impending Repossessions Crisis, Housing Analysis and Surveys Expert Panel Papers, 7, Communities and Local Government. Click here to download.

Levin, E. and Pryce, G. (2008) 'Measuring Changes in Housing Wealth Inequality: Report', Department of Communities and Local Government: London.

Levin, E. and Pryce, G. (2008) 'Measuring Changes in Housing Wealth Inequality: Executive Summary', Department of Communities and Local Government: London.

Pryce, G. and Evans, G. (2007) Identifying Submarkets at the Sub-Regional Level in England, Department of Communities and Local Government: London. Click here to download.

Pryce, G. and Brown, S. (2007) Is it possible to identify housing sub-markets? Testing a new approach, Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors, Findings in Built and Rural Environment, June 2007, London.  Click here to download.

ODPM (2006) Which House Price? Finding the Right Measure of House Price Inflation for Housing Policy - Summary, New Horizons Research Summary Number 3: April 2006, ISBN: 05 ASD 03771/c. Click here to download the summary.

Pryce, G. and Mason, P. (2006) Which House Price? Finding the Right Measure of House Price Inflation for Housing Policy - Technical Report, Office of the Deputy Prime Minister, ISBN: 05 ASD 03771/a. Click here to download the report.

Pryce, G. and Mason, P. (2006) Which House Price? Finding the Right Measure of House Price Inflation for Housing Policy - Policy Implications Report, Office of the Deputy Prime Minister, ISBN: 05 ASD 03771/b. Click here to download.

Pryce, G. (2004) The Micro and Macro Effects of the Location of New Housing Supply, London: Office of the Deputy Prime Minister.

Pryce, G. and Gibb, K. (2003) Does residential New Construction Boost or Depress the Adjacent Market for Second-Hand Homes?, York: Joseph Rowntree Foundation.

Bailey, N., Flint, J., Goodlad, R., Shucksmith, M., Fitzpatrick, S. and Pryce, G. (2003) Measuring Deprivation in Scotland: Developing a Long-Term Strategy, Final Report, Scottish Executive, Edinburgh: Scottish Executive Central Statistics Unit.

Pryce, G. and Kasparova, D. (2002) Private Rented Sector Supply: an Analysis of the Scottish House Condition Survey Longitudinal Data-Set, Edinburgh: Scottish Homes.

Pryce, G. and Lynch, E. (2002) Development of a Housing Market Database for Glasgow, Glasgow: GSPC/Communities Scotland.

Kemp, P. and Pryce, G. (2002) Evaluating the Mortgage Safety Net, London: Council for Mortgage Lenders. Click here to download.

Houston, D., Kemp, P. and Pryce, G. (2002) Review of the Private Rented Sector in Wales, Cardiff: National Assembly for Wales.

Lynch, E., Stephens, M. and Pryce, G. (2002) Housing and Social Cohesion in the UK: Report 1, European Commission.

Bramley, G., Pryce, G. and Satsangi, M. (1999) 'The Supply Responsiveness of the Private Rented Sector: An International Comparison', London: Department of the Environment, Transport and the Regions.

Pryce, G. and Keoghan, M. (1999) Safety Nets for Mortgage Borrowers, Edinburgh: Scottish Homes.

Maclennan, D. and Pryce, G. (1998) Missing Links: The Economy, Cities and Housing, London: National Housing Federation.

Gibb, K., Kearns, A., Keoghan, M., More, A., and Pryce, G. (1996) Community Ownership Rents: Greater Easterhouse in the Glasgow Context, Glasgow: Greater Easterhouse Community Ownership Forum.

Gibb, K., Jamieson, J., Maclennan, D. and Pryce, G. (1996) The Development of Owner Occupied Housing Markets in Scotland, London: Report to Monopolies and Mergers Commission.



Maclennan, D. and Pryce, G. (1996) ‘Housing’, Public Services Yearbook 1996/97, edited by P. Jackson and M. Lavender, London: Pitman Publishing, pp. 277-284.


Other Publications and Outputs

Pryce, G. (2006) ‘House Prices and Time-to-Sale in the West of Scotland’, Housing Market Commentary No. 5, January 2006; www.gwilympryce.co.uk.

Pryce, G. (2005) ‘Analysis of the latest GSPC House Sales Data’, Housing Market Commentary, No.4, Nov 2005; www.gwilympryce.co.uk.

Pryce, G. (2005) ‘Time-to-Sale Falls for the First Time in Twelve Months’, Housing Market Commentary No. 3, July 2005; www.gwilympryce.co.uk.

Hendershott, P.H. and Pryce, G. (2005) ‘The Sensitivity of Homeowner Leverage to the Deductibility of Home Mortgage Interest’, NBER Working Paper No. 11489, Cambridge: MA; http://www.nber.org/papers/w11489.pdf

Pryce, G. (2005) Strathclyde House Price Increases Still well above the Rate of Inflation, Housing Market Commentary No. 2, April 2005; www.gwilympryce.co.uk.

Pryce, G., House Prices in the West of Scotland: Analysis of the latest GSPC House Sales Data, Housing Market Commentary No. 1, December 2004; www.gwilympryce.co.uk.

Hendershott, P., Pryce, G. and White, M. (2002) ‘Household Leverage and the Deductibility of Home Mortgage Interest: Evidence from UK House Purchasers’, National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper 9207, Cambridge MA; http://www.nber.org/papers/w9207

Pryce, G. (2001) ‘Cycles In The Price Elasticity Of Demand For Housing’, Ecofin Discussion Paper No.5, Department of Urban Studies, University of Glasgow, http://www.gla.ac.uk/departments/urbanstudies/publications/.

Keoghan, M. and Pryce, G. (2001) ‘Mortgage Payment Protection Insurance: Do Those Who Need it Most Take it Out?’ Ecofin Discussion Paper No. 3, Department of Urban Studies, University of Glasgow, http://www.gla.ac.uk/departments/urbanstudies/publications/.

Pryce, G., The Principle of Giving and the Practice of Tithing, January 2000, Department of Urban Studies Working Paper, http://www.gla.ac.uk/departments/urbanstudies/staff/GPrycePracticeofTithingFeb2000.pdf.
Pryce, G. (1998) ‘ISMI & the Take-Up of Mortgage Protection Insurance’, CHRUS Occasional Paper 45.

Pryce, G. (1998) ‘New Land for New Houses’, CHRUS Occasional Paper 43.

Pryce, G. (1996) ‘Impact of Debt Crises’, CHRUS Occasional Paper 29.

Pryce, G. (1995) ‘Dependence of Equilibrium Credit Rationing on the Nature of Loan Insurance’, CHRUS Occasional Paper 27.


Conference Papers and Presentations

Pryce, G. (2006) 'What Buyers Want: Revealing underlying changes in house buyer priorities', Keynote speach, GSPC Conference for Builders and Developers, 5 May 2006, 1 Devonshire Gardens, Glasgow.

Pryce, G. (2005) ‘Can We Trust UK House-Price Indices?’, Seminar Paper, Department of Urban Studies, University of Glasgow, 21st October 2005.

Stuart-Smith, J., Timmins, C. and Pryce, G. (2005) ‘Explaining phonological variation and change in an urban vernacular: does television play a role?’, Conference Paper, 34th Conference of New ways of analyzing variation, New York, July 2005.

Timmins, C., Stuart-Smith, J. and Pryce, G. (2005) ‘Social practices and social identities as explanatory factors of phonological variation and change in urban adolescents’, Conference Paper, The First International Conference on the Linguistics of Contemporary English (incorporating the Second International Conference on the Phonology of English), 23 - 26 June 2005, University of Edinburgh.

Cairns, H. and Pryce, G. (2005) ‘An Analysis of Mortgage Arrears Using the British Household Panel Survey’, European Real Estate Society Conference, Dublin, June 2005.

Pryce, G. (2005) Correcting for Sample Selection Bias in UK House Price Indices, Conference Paper, European Real Estate Society Conference, Dublin, June 2005.

Stuart-Smith, J., Timmins, C. and Pryce, G. (2005) ‘Accents, attitudes and awareness in urban adolescents’, Invited Seminar Paper, Department of Language and Linguistic Sciences, University of York, 24 May 2005.

Pryce, G. (2005) House Price Inequality and School Performance in Glasgow, Workshop Presentation, Department of Urban Studies, University of Glasgow, 25th April 2005.

Hendershott, P. and Pryce, G. (2005) ‘Modelling Loan to Value as a Fractional Response Variable: With an Application to Estimating Tax Penalty Impacts’, Conference Paper, Scottish Economics Society Conference, Perth, Scotland, 29 March 2005

Stuart-Smith, J., Timmins, C. and Pryce, G. (2005) ‘Investigating the effects of television on accent change: The story so far’, Invited Seminar Paper, Department of Linguistics and English Language, University of Lancaster, 15 March 2005.

Cairns, H. and Pryce, G. (2004) 'Analysing mortgage risks using the BHPS', Invited Seminar Paper, York, 2nd Nov 2004.

Pryce, G. (2004) ‘Measuring the Degree of Overpricing in a Sealed-Bid System: with an Application of Multiple Fractional Polynomial Estimation to Hedonic Pricing’, Conference Paper, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association International Conference, Fredericton, Canada, 31st July 2004.

Pryce, G. (2004) ‘Information Trails Across the Urban Landscape’, Conference Presentation, Housing and Urban Economics Conference, Department of Urban Studies, University of Glasgow, 22nd June 2004.

Hendershott, P. and Pryce, G. (2004) ‘Another Look at UK Homeowner Leverage: Using FLR and Truncated Regression to Model the impact of the tax penalty on the LTV Decision’, Conference Paper, European Real Estate Conference, Milan, Italy, 4th June 2004.

Pryce, G. (2004) ‘Do existing house price indices underestimate house price inflation?’ Workshop Presentation, Department of Urban Studies, 26th April 2004.

Pryce, G. ‘The Dynamics of Housing Submarkets’ (2004) Conference Paper, Planning and Development Research Conference, King’s College, University of Aberdeen, 31st March – 2nd April 2004.

Pryce, G. (2004) ‘Defining Submarkets and Deprivation Areas’ (2004) Workshop Presentation, Department of Urban Studies, 23rd February 2004.

Pryce, G. and Gibb, K. (2003) ‘Time on the Market: Anatomy of Housing-Market Dynamics in Glasgow’, Seminar Paper, Department of Urban Studies, University of Glasgow, October 2003.

Pryce, G. and Gibb, K. (2003) ‘Modelling Time to Sale of Second Hand Owner Occupied Residential Properties in Glasgow: With Fractional Polynomial Hedonic Price Estimation and Bootstrapped Sample-Selection Proportional Hazards Estimation’, Conference Paper, European Real Estate Society Conference, Krakow, June 2003.

Pryce, G. and Gibb, K. (2003) ‘Modelling Time to Sale of Second Hand Owner Occupied Residential Properties in Glasgow’, Conference Paper, Scottish Economics Society Conference, Glasgow, 25th March 2003.

Pryce, G. (2003) ‘Local and Macro Impact of New Housing Supply’, Conference Presentation, European Network of Housing Research, Vienna, February 2003.

Pryce, G. (2003) ‘The Endogenous Delineation of Submarkets’, Conference Presentation, ESRC Regional Economics Conference, Edinburgh, January 2003.

Hendershott, P., Pryce, G. and White, M. (2002) ‘Household Leverage and the Deductibility of Home Mortgage Interest: Evidence from UK New Borrowers’, Conference Paper, NBER's Public Economics Workshop in Boston on 7-8th November  2002.

Hendershott, P., Pryce, G. and White, M. (2002) ‘Household Leverage and the Deductibility of Home Mortgage Interest: Evidence from UK New Borrowers’, Conference Paper, University of Berkeley, 16th Sept 2002.

Hendershott, P. and Pryce, G. (2002) ‘Estimating the Price Elasticity of Demand in the UK: Incorporating the Impact of Mortgage Interest Tax Relief and Credit Rationing Sample Selection Effects’, Conference Paper, European Real Estate Society, June 2002.

Cameron, J., Pryce, G. and White, M. (2002) ‘Mortgage Possessions In Scotland’, Conference Paper, European Real Estate Society Conference, June 2002.

Hendershott, P., Pryce, G. and White, M. (2002) ‘Household Leverage and the Deductibility of Home Mortgage Interest: Evidence from UK New Borrowers’, Seminar Paper, University of Melbourne Seminar Series, March 2002.

Hendershott, P., Pryce, G. and White, M. (2002) ‘Household Leverage and the Deductibility of Home Mortgage Interest: Evidence from UK New Borrowers’, Conference Paper, American Real Estate Society Conference, Atlanta, January 2002.

Pryce, G. (2001) “Mortgage Protection Insurance: An Analysis of Take-up and Crowding Out”,  Conference Paper, Scottish Economics Society Annual Conference, Sept 2001

Pryce, G. (2001) ‘The Possible Capital Market Distortions Caused By Fiscal Incentives To Build On Brownfield Land’, Conference Paper, Housing, Environment and Sustainability: Housing Studies Association, Spring Conference, 18th & 19th April 2001

Pryce, G. (2001) ‘The Paradox of Cycles in the Price Elasticity of Demand for Housing’, Invited Conference Paper, Post Keynesian Study Group, Leeds Business School, 18th May 2001.

Hendershott, P., Pryce, G. and White, M. (2001) ‘Household Leverage and the Deductibility of Home Mortgage Interest: Evidence from UK New Borrowers’, European Real Estate Society Alicante, June 26-29

Pryce, G. (2001) ‘Explaining Scottish Repossession Rates’, DUS Lunchtime Workshop, 26th Feb 2001

Pryce, G. (2000) ‘The Consumer In The Housing Market: Inequities In The Costs And Risks Faced By Owner Occupiers’, Invited Paper Presented at the Housing Studies Association Conference, Sept 2000, Glasgow.

Pryce, G. (2000) ‘Theory and Evidence on the Variation of the Price Elasticity of Housing Demand over the Housing Cycle’, Invited Paper at Property Economics and Finance Research Network, April 2000.

Pryce, G. (2000) ‘Unintended Effects Of Government Intervention In Brownfield Residential Development: A Credit Rationing Model of Land Development Loans where Land has Heterogeneous Contamination Risk’, Invited Paper, Regional Science Association International Conference, Lugano, May 2000.

Pryce, G. (2000) ‘Perceived Risk In Real Estate Markets:  Biased And Heteroscedastic Assessment Errors’, Conference Paper, European Network of Housing Research Conference, Gavle, June 2000

Pryce, G.  & Keoghan, M. (1999) ‘Safety Nets for Mortgage Borrowers’, Seminar Paper, Department Of Urban Studies Seminar, Glasgow, June 1999.

Pryce, G.  & Keoghan, M. (1999) ‘State Safety Nets’, Conference Presentation, Scottish House Condition Survey User Group, Edinburgh, April 1999.

Pryce, G. & White, M. (1999) ‘Contiguous Land Use as a Driver of Land Allocation’, Conference Paper, Regional Science Association, Dublin, August 1999.

Pryce, G. (1999) ‘Analysis Of Mortgage Protection Insurance’, Conference Paper, European Real Estate Society Conference, Athens, June 1999.

Pryce, G. (1999) ‘How Brownfield Sites Can Cause Equilibrium Credit Rationing’, Conference Paper, European Real Estate Society Conference, Athens, June 1999.

Pryce, G. (1999) ‘Theory & Estimation of UK Private Rented Sector Supply Responsiveness’, Conference Paper, European Real Estate Society Conference, Athens, June 1999.

Pryce, G. (1997) ‘Perverse Incentives of Loan Insurance’, Conference Paper, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Society Conference, Berkeley, June 1997.



Full current CV available here.

Summary

Prof Gwilym Pryce is the Deputy Director of the Graduate School (Faculty of Social Sciences) Chair of the Housing Research Group (University of Glasgow) and Founding Chair of the Scottish Housing Economics and Finance Research Network. He has published widely in the areas of housing and mortgage markets and has conducted research for a large number of funding bodies including: 

  • Department of the Environment Transport and the Regions,
  • Council for Mortgage Lenders,
  • Glasgow Solicitors Property Centre,
  • Economic and Social Research Council,
  • National Assembly for Wales,
  • Federal National Mortgage Association,
  • Scottish Homes/Communities Scotland,
  • European Commission,
  • National Housing Federation,
  • Strathclyde Police,
  • North Lanarkshire Council,
  • East Dunbartonshire Council,
  • Monopolies and Mergers Commission
  • Scottish Office
  • Royal Institutue of Chartered Surveyors

He has been an Economic Consultant to the SCOC Learning to Live Theology Program and a member of the Council for Mortgage Lender's Sustainable Home Ownership Panel. He is currently an Associate Researcher for the Scottish Centre for Research on Social Justice and a Consultant Market Analyst for Glasgow Solicitors Property Centre. He is the Economics Adviser to the European Journal of Housing Policy and a member of the Editorial Board of the Journal of Property Research. He was an Academic Consultant on both Stage I and Stage II of the HM Treasury Barker Review of Housing Supply and is currently a member of the Post-Barker Advisory Group organised by Office of the Deputy Prime Minister / Her Majesty's Treasury. He is also an Associate Member of ImoEconometrics, a Portuguese real estate investment consultancy firm, and is the Director of GeeBeeJey Publishing and Consultancy.


Education

1996-1999 University of Glasgow,
PhD Economics (Part-Time).
1992-1993University of Warwick,
MSc Economics.
1991-1992 Covenant College,
Certificate Biblical Studies (Distinction).
1988-1991Leeds Business School,
Leeds Metropolitan University,
BA Hons Economics & Public Policy (First Class).


PhD

In 1999 Prof Pryce successfully completed a PhD as part of the Scottish Doctoral Programme in Economics (supervisors: Dr Terry Moody, University of Glasgow and Professor Ioannis Theodossiou, University of Aberdeen; external examiners: Professor Christine Whitehead, OBE, London School of Economics, and Professor Moira Munro, Heriot Watt University).  He completed the PhD entirely on a part-time basis after only three and a half years’ registration (he was encouraged to apply for early submission due to ‘exceptional progress’). The PhD made a number of significant innovations (both theoretical and applied) in the fields of unemployment/mortgage insurance and the analysis of perceived risk.


Employment

2006-University of Glasgow:
Prof Housing Economics and Social Statistics
2003-2006University of Glasgow:
Senior Lecturer in Social Science Methodology;
& Deputy Director of the Graduate School (60%);
Senior Lecturer in Urban Studies (40%) 
2001-2003University of Glasgow: 
Lecturer in Social Science Methodology;
& Deputy Director of the Graduate School (60%);  
Lecturer in Urban Studies (40%) 
1996-2001University of Glasgow: Lecturer in Urban Studies
1995-1996University of Glasgow:  ESRC Research Fellow
1993-1995University of Aberdeen:  Research Assistant


Consultancy work:

Prof Pryce has carried out consultancy work for the following organisations:

  • Glasgow Solicitors Property Centre;
  • National Housing Federation;
  • East Dunbartonshire Local Authority;
  • North Lanarkshire Local Authority;
  • Federal National Mortgage Association (USA);
  • Scottish Churches Open College.

Prof Pryce is also an Associate Member of ImoEconometrics, a Portuguese real estate investment consultancy firm.



Prof Pryce has over 12 years of experience of using and developing quantitative methods.  He has used a wide range of statistical techniques (including logit, probit, ordered logit, two-stage least squares, fractional logit, Log-logistic/Weibull/Cox time-to-event models, Klein and Moeschberger kernel smoothed hazard functions, and fixed and random effects panel models) and has been at the cutting edge of applying techniques in an innovative way (he is one of the first in the UK to apply the following techniques to socio-economic data: Fractional Logit, Multiple Fractional Polynomial estimation, bootstrapped-Cox-Proportional-Hazards with sample selection correction). 

Prof Pryce has also been innovative in developing new techniques, such as the development of a 5 step approach to estimating tax penalty impacts, estimation of time-varying location value signature models and the development of a grid-search algorithm that tests for structural breaks across space in socio-economic relationships).

He has also been particularly innovative in making statistical techniques accessible to non-specialists:   

*He has written an extensive series of macros in SPSS that allows
users to run basic statistical tests in SPSS based on summary
information;
*He has integrated these macros into mind-mapping software that
allows users to locate the appropriate techniques and syntax by
clicking on a series of mind-map branches;
* He has added new features to SPSS that allow users to run proper
regression diagnostics without having to turn to advanced software.


Expertise in using large datasets and statistical software:

Prof Pryce has extensive experience of using a wide range of large datasets including:

  • British Household Panel Survey,
  • Family Resources Survey, 
  • General Household Survey,
  • Survey of English Housing,
  • Scottish House Condition Survey,
  • SASINES,
  • Land Registry,
  • CML Survey of Mortgage Lenders,
  • NOMIS,
  • World Bank Data,
  • Ordinance Survey Landline and Meridian data,
  • Post Code Address File data,
  • ESRC Beliefs and Behaviour data.

He is also familiar with a range of statistical and GIS software packages, including:

  • Stata,
  • SPSS,
  • MapInfo,
  • Vertical Mapper,
  • Matlab,
  • Excel.

He has particular expertise in writing advanced programs in Stata and SPSS.


Teaching Experience

Prof Pryce's main teaching responsibilities at present are primarily concerned with providing research training courses for ESRC recognised 1+3 Post Graduate courses across the Faculty.  He is responsible for the coordination of the MSc Social Science Research (a cross-department interdisciplinary Masters degree in research methods); coordination of the Faculty Graduate Training Programme (c90 students each year); coordination and teaching on Quantitative Methods Modules I and II; Masters dissertation supervision and PhD supervision.  Recent teaching initiatives which he has launched include: the development of a 40 hour Induction Programme for new Post Graduate students, and the development of a 16 hour Professional and Employability Skills training course in response to the Roberts Report and associated funding. 

He has taught and coordinated courses at all levels (undergraduate; post graduate Diploma; post graduate MSc/MRes/MPhil; PhD) in a range of subjects including economics, social statistics, econometrics, GIS, social policy, and urban studies. In particular, he coordinated and taught on the Social Policy undergraduate degree in the first year it was taught between two departments (Urban Studies and Social Policy), and received an “Excellent” rating from the Teaching Quality Assessment panel.

A brief summary of Prof Pryce's teaching experience since 1995 is as follows (figures in brackets refer to number of students, the abbreviations are defined as follows: D = Housing Studies Programme Diploma; L = Undergraduate Level one or two; PG = Post Graduate):


(i)    Housing Economy and Society[D,25]

(ii)   Housing Economics[D,35]

(iii)  Housing Finance [D,35]

(iv)  Housing Economics [Honours,15]

(v)   Property Markets and Economy [L2, 5]

(vi)  Social Policy / Social Urban Policy [L2, 60]

(vii)  Housing Policy [Honours, 30]

(viii) Inference and Statistics in SPSS  [PG, 60]

(ix)   Advanced Regression in SPSS [PG, 25]

(x)    IT Skills and Resource Discovery: Introduction to GIS [PG, 60]

(xi)   Mackintosh School:  Built Environment [L1, 70]

(xii)  Maths and Statistics Induction [PG, 85]

(xiii) Professional and Employability Skills [PG, 65]

(xiv) Giving and Taxing: Scottish Churches Open College [L1, 8]

(xv)  Diploma Induction [D,35]


Click here for Prof Pryce's current CV.undefined

Click here for Prof Pryce's contact details.

Go to www.geebeejey.co.uk to order Inference and Statistics in SPSS by Gwilym Pryce (GeeBeeJey Publishing).



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